Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.998944 1.136626 1.286609 1.462166 1.662096 1.882782 2.144989
2025-12-07 0.762855 0.944498 1.159728 1.433768 1.773791 2.182352 2.711406
2025-12-14 0.622477 0.817083 1.061496 1.391417 1.825940 2.379863 3.141636
2025-12-21 0.534303 0.735608 1.000744 1.376166 1.895388 2.590206 3.594222
2025-12-28 0.487383 0.699417 0.990473 1.420129 2.040246 2.906014 4.212420
2026-01-04 0.430669 0.641201 0.941003 1.400278 2.088800 3.087084 4.652839
2026-01-11 0.398866 0.614243 0.931453 1.434232 2.214762 3.386509 5.291041
2026-01-18 0.364692 0.579353 0.905477 1.438883 2.294101 3.619917 5.847166
2026-01-25 0.330030 0.539671 0.867499 1.419619 2.331861 3.789138 6.313874
2026-02-01 0.297245 0.499425 0.824269 1.386613 2.342385 3.912896 6.713976
2026-02-08 0.268985 0.463692 0.784658 1.354954 2.350572 4.030953 7.111825
2026-02-15 0.249785 0.441318 0.764912 1.354437 2.410463 4.239261 7.682436
2026-02-22 0.227610 0.413823 0.737568 1.344817 2.465756 4.466177 8.351167
2026-03-01 0.204674 0.383001 0.702103 1.318487 2.491279 4.648678 8.971987
2026-03-08 0.183007 0.351932 0.662580 1.279595 2.487839 4.775420 9.498415
2026-03-15 0.167266 0.330223 0.637878 1.265588 2.529343 4.989495 10.217329
2026-03-22 0.159790 0.323659 0.641084 1.305965 2.681379 5.432804 11.447168
2026-03-29 0.146481 0.303976 0.616548 1.287733 2.712316 5.636547 12.202235
2026-04-05 0.139660 0.296794 0.616170 1.318917 2.848648 6.069429 13.494387
2026-04-12 0.130814 0.284402 0.603779 1.323189 2.927631 6.389081 14.574020
2026-04-19 0.120822 0.268489 0.582367 1.305496 2.956314 6.602409 15.437506
2026-04-26 0.110733 0.251319 0.556536 1.275183 2.953180 6.744381 16.151226
2026-05-03 0.101711 0.235625 0.532397 1.246105 2.949543 6.884222 16.875000